Power Shift Analysen
Brazil – A Riser in Trouble
Brazil has risen to the global top in both political and economic terms over the last decades. With a Power Score of 1.68 in 2015, it is the most powerful Latin American country displaying a 22.6 percent growth of its power base since 2005 (PSR +0.31). Nevertheless, the Land of the Palms is facing significant challenges that pose risks to it political and economic stability.
France’s threatened Grandeur
France, once a European Great Power, is nowadays usually classified as a middle power. Being a central driver for European integration and holding a permanent seat on the UN Security Council arguably fosters France’s prolonged self-image of greatness, or “la grandeur”.
India – Achieving Great Power Status?
India has stepped up to the world stage in the past quarter of a century. The Bonn Power Shift Monitor highlights that the Asian elephant has gained enormous weight – even if only the 2005 to 2015 period is reviewed. For these years, India shows the second highest power gains after China...
Argentina – The Slow Progress of a Regional Power
Argentina, the Southern Cone of the G20, is already known for its “chronic instability” in the 20th century. Its ups and downs since the turn of the millennium indicate that the country has not yet escaped the vicious cycle of instability.
South Africa – A Fading Rainbow?
As the only African country in the G20, the Rainbow Nation holds a special relationship to the world’s leading economies as well as to its African neighbors. After being invited to the BRICS in 2010, its extraordinary international reputation as an emerging economy has increased.
Australia – A Pivotal Power between Distance and Proximity
For a long time, Australia was challenged by the ‘Tyranny of Distance’ to the dominant states of the West, but with Asia rising, it finds itself in the very proximity of power. This new geostrategic location provides Down Under with great opportunities but also formidable tasks as its global weight is reduced by the sheer mass of its neighbors.
Saudi Arabia: The Desert Powerhouse
Saudi Arabia has gained attention for its hard power, particularly for its vast oil resources and military buildup. Apart from that, Saudi Arabia’s soft power as the capital of both the Muslim and Arab world is often underestimated. Its 2005-2015 performance underlines a strong headway as Riyadh’s power base has grown by remarkable 35.7 percent...